economy [Latest Update for 2026] Revised Real GDP for January–March Rises 1.8%, but… An Analysis of the “Risk of a Recession” Posed by the Middle East Situation and Inflation
Is Japan’s economy truly recovering? While GDP for the January–March 2026 quarter, released today, rose by 1.8%, personal consumption remains sluggish. We take an in-depth look at the risks lurking behind this “economic expansion that feels nonexistent”—driven by resurgent inflation due to escalating tensions in the Middle East and falling stock prices—and examine how these factors will impact our wallets and mortgages.